And we have more recent evidence, too: Herschel Walker, the anti-abortion Republican candidate for U.S. ![]() According to our research, scandal-plagued incumbents performed an average of 9 percentage points worse than expected in general elections 1 between 19. ![]() Scenario 1: It will hurt Trumpīreaking news: Scandals are bad for political candidates. Here’s a look at the arguments for all three. Any of these three things could happen: This news could hurt Trump it could help him or it could not impact the race at all. Since we have no precedent to guide us, the honest answer is that we don’t know how this will affect Trump politically. As of now, though, we still have many questions - including how this bombshell will affect his campaign to regain the presidency in 2024. On Thursday, a Manhattan grand jury voted to indict former President Donald Trump, making him the first president in U.S. Former President Donald Trump is, according to early surveys of the Republican primary electorate, viewed as the most electable candidate for 2024, which makes it harder to tease out how much Republican voters value electability versus ideological purity.
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